Gary Woodland (2.015 sg:total) Jamie Lovemark (1.931 sg:total) So I dont really know what to do on them. His average strokes gained per round actually increases by .438 strokes on difficult layouts and by 1.24 strokes in heavily windy conditions. Keep up the good work! The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. 1): Buy Low on Ja Morant, NBA DFS (Wednesday, Mar. This is a tough golf course and you throw that kind of wind in there. I like the wind. Strokes Gained Approach-The-Green (SGAPR) This is all I can do. Since Jan. 1, he's 31st overall in strokes gained. Ive had no success at the British Open. He will win before this season ends. I feel like I can control my ball in the wind a little bit better. Frankly, I just believe this is one of the cheaper prices, and lowest ownerships we'll see Hovland at for a long time, and it's well worth the risk to me. Which golfers play best in windy conditions? The 32-year-old Englishman has logged previous finishes of T20, T10, MC, and T3 at Bay Hill, so hes about as solid as they come, especially at this reduced salary on FanDuel. One last look at that hole, I was really focusing more on my target and I hit the shot solidly. I want to be ahead of it when he does come out and run away with a victory. The cliff notes version is that you can use SimLeverage to quickly find leverage plays in tournaments, while Perfect% is great for finding the best price-considered plays for cash games. Cheers. It was simple, rhythmic and perfectly balanced. A player with a 100 Index would have a Course Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes. your ability to handle the wind here and that type of thing? KIRADECH APHIBARNRAT: Yeah, I spend a couple years on The European Tour and that experience bring me up to this position at the moment. -2017 Valero, Q. Curtis, how do you prepare for the windy conditions in Texas and are there any types of shots that you focus on? Haha all about consistency. Sergio Garcia (2.708 sg:total) -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero). Youre having a laugh! Its obviously great food and great people here, so its always a pleasure to come back to Texas and play. Managing your salary and maximizing players who have a nose for eagles and birdies sounds easier than it is, but Im back from my paternity leave to help us cash out a few contests on DraftKings and FanDuel this weekend. Jason Day (2.903 sg:total) Hes 61st in the field putting on fast Bermuda greens. But, which players offer good value from a derivative markets standpoint? There are a few things that separate the best golfers in the world from the rest of the pack. DFS GPP Pivot Plays | Genesis Scottish Open 2022, Results from the John Deere Classic Pivot Point, DraftKings GPP Pivot Plays for the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open. Approach shots are a very important part of the game of golf. Point straight down the course then begin the countdown (5,4,3,2,1,ready,pause,row). Q. Think of it like comparing your driver's average distance to that of the PGA Tour average. Thats normally advantageous for me. San Antonio, Bob Hope, the year I won, it was blowing a ton that final round. SG: Wind is the adjusted strokes gained per round when playing on a day where average wind speeds were greater than 14 mph. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship . So, I know the year I won it was real windy and I played well at Honda this year in the wind and so I feel like Im a good wind player. Strokes Gained can help golfers achieve this by providing them with the information they need to make the correct shot selection. It blows 40 and rains every day it seems like. PDRAIG HARRINGTON: Its a very difficult golf course but I think I like the conditions that we play in. I like the place. Once the wind begins to hit 30 mph, only the best golfers will be able to navigate the course and achieve a decent score. Having an extra 15 yards in your tank can help carry hazards or go for a green where others may be forced to lay back in the same situation. I didnt even want to hit balls on Monday here, or Tuesday I dont know which day it was, Monday because it was so windy and I was hitting it bad. You finished tied for 2nd here a couple years ago. Im 9. Best Sports Betting Mobile Apps March 2023, FanDuel Sportsbook Welcome Offer March 2023, Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information, Good Drives Gained (10%) & Driving Distance (5%), SG: APP (20%) & Proximity: 200+ yards (5%), Opportunities Gained, Bogey Avoidance (Both 10%) & Scrambling (5%), Par 4 Efficiency (12%) & Par 4 Efficiency: 450-500 yards (5%), Par 5 Efficiency (13%) & Par 5 Efficiency: 550-600 yards (5%), Last 24 Rounds: SG: TOT Difficult Scoring Conditions (15%), Last 24 Rounds: SP: Putting Fast or Lightning Bermuda Greens (12.5%), Last 12 Rounds: SG: TOT at Bay Hill (2020-2022) (12.5%). Subscribe:Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio. What is the experience, playing golf in Texas, it can get windy, but surely this is different? I like having the feel aspect. The forecast for Thursday, Friday is wind. which takes on added emphasis in the expected windy conditions. There is nothing subjective here. . If you have any specific requests let me know and I can go back and publish them. Im kind of used to this. Shawn Stefani (1.133 sg:wind vs. 0.784 sg:total) The field this week will consist of 156 players, including 20 PGA professionals. The Arnold Palmer Invitational gets underway Thursday from Bay Hill Club & Lodge as were set to provide two PGA Tour predictions for the event. Brandt Snedeker (2.036 sg:wind vs. 1.651 sg:total) Strokes Gained Around the Green: Bermuda . His "poor" play equates to this: 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions When things are going right, there is nobody within range of Morikawa's iron play. Conners 3. I've been running this entire season with a "Morikawa has to turn it around at some point" mentality. Wind Anti-Specialists Also, underrated. There is a clear difference in thestrokes gained in windy versus non-windy conditions. Rahm has the most strokes gained (2.19) on coastal courses on the . D.J. By Colby . One area he has in mind is strokes-gained categories that account for factors such as wind, turf conditions and the contours of a shot. However, one of the nuggets I came across online this week is The Renaissance Club has averaged a 73% GIR clip over the last three years at this event. Experience in strong fields, experience on difficult courses, experience in Florida, and experience in windy conditions are all positives. Pingback: AT&T Byron Nelson Fantasy Preview, Hi Josh When I went to A&M we played in very tough conditions a lot, so I love the wind. Home - Tips and Guides - Strokes gained in windy conditions? Are you a mudder? ROBERT GARRIGUS: You know, its attitude and playing in wind a lot. Was able to win there. Sentry Tournament of Champions 'Horses for the course' This was a big problem for Rory early in his career. Justin Rose (2.597 sg:total) Wind gusts are going to make for tough conditions. SG: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) over past 24 rounds: Beau Hossler (+24.9) (+20000) They have the games, guts and nerves to handle four pressure-packed rounds in windy conditions at St. Andrews. Will Zalatoris is known for his great iron play. The Englishman has gained 1.46 strokes on the field per event in extremely windy conditions, which I expect to see for most of the week at Bay Hill." - Matt Vincenzi Realign and repeat a third time, and hopefully get to 'row' away this time, but only if the . Jamie Lovemark (1.931 sg:wind vs. 1.285 sg:total) This would be classed as a tough hole on tour. Q. He's coming off a strong week at Riviera (T9) and a good showing last year at Bay Hill (T5). That was my deal. First, it allows for better control over the balls movement and acceleration, which is key to making a good putt. Is there anyway we can get an update on this document; looks like 4.3.17 was the last update? Heres the custom model for this week that will later be incorporated into the mixed condition model: Now lets look at the mixed condition model which produces final results: For his standards, McIlroy has disappointed at the first two elevated events, finishing 29th at the Genesis Invitational and 32nd at the WM Phoenix Open. -2017 Alfred Dunhill Links, SEAN OHAIR: Yeah, I always feel comfortable in Texas. Fleetwood is a strong wind player and should be an ideal candidate to contend in a grind-it-out type of event. Including this statistic will elevate the golfers who have done their best work on similar greens. Si Woo 4. Tommy Fleetwood: $9,600 Ryan Blaum (0.288 sg:wind vs. 0.715 sg:total) -2015 PGA National, Q. Sergio, youve always been a particularly good wind player. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. A stroke gained analysis can help a player to understand where they need to improve their game in order to compete at a higher level. Great to finish the day like that. 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played The 33-year-old native of Northern Ireland ranks first in driving distance, ninth in total strokes gained, only struggling with his putter, and is ranked 28th in scrambling. The PGA Tour will stay in the Sunshine State for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida this weekend. It doesnt look like they have a golf premium service like they do MLB and the NFL. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. -2018 TPC San Antonio (Valero), Q. Thanks in advance. Good luck in DK this week. Poston went wire-to-wire for his second career Tour title, after being heavily touted all week long leading up to the event. In windy conditions, the ability to hit a low, controlled shot is often the key to success. It features small greens and will play even smaller than the measurements indicate with fall-off areas and false fronts protecting the pin locations. Another is quantifying performance under pressure, a topic . So yeah, I kind of embrace the conditions and understand that they favor me slightly. Do you like playing in the wind? Casey 10. Hideki Matsuyama (2.861 sg:total) looks like temps will remain under 70 degrees all four days. Julian Etulain (0.34 sg:wind vs. 0.722 sg:total) The chalk hit this week, so that doesn't bode too well for this series. Patrick Cantlay 10. BEAU HOSSLER: Absolutely. Did you think it gives you an advantage? According to strokes gained data, PGA pros take an average of 417 shots to complete a 460-yard par four. PATRICK REED: I am from Texas. So I played well in the wind before and I think growing up in it certainly helps. In terms of the custom model, the Northern Irishman ranks sixth, fifth and first in the 12-, 24- and 50-round models, respectively. Q. McIIroy 2. There are many factors that affect how far a golfer can hit their 9 iron. The wind is going to howl: . Stats are time-weighted and adjusted to the strength of competition. However, the general consensus is that it can give golfers a significant edge, especially if they are able to control their ball flight. Thank you. Pingback: 2017 U.S. Open DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. How much of an advantage or how much confidence does it give you against the field when youre -2014 Houston Open, Pingback: Several Shades of Golf | The Dirt Canon, Pingback: The Open Championship Fantasy Preview - Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis - Fantasy Sports - Future Of Fantasy, Pingback: Hyundai Tournament of Champions Fantasy Preview, Pingback: Sony Open in Hawaii Fantasy Preview. SG values are adjusted at the hole-level . Amateur in 2009 and the Senior PGA Championship in 2021. However, the general consensus is Peter Uihlein, Talor Gooch tied for lead at Mayakoba. Places with no wind, where its just driving range shots, its just never been something Ive been used to. Averaging 4.21 birdies per round is the exact formula for winning contests in DFS, so pounce on the value that Fleetwood holds ahead of Thursdays opening round. Ive played in wind my whole life. Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. Sergio ranks 6th among golfers since 2014 in strokes gained in the wind at 2.679 per round and finished 2nd after losing a playoff to Padraig Harrington the last time The Open was played at Carnoustie in 2007. Morikawa 2. Jon Rahm 2. It's the average number of strokesthe actual number of strokes. Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. Im sure the driving is a big part of that. Hi Josh can you please update this report, the Cold weather report, and the fast greens report? Let's be honest, $9.4k is too low for #4 player in the world, a 2-time major champion, AND the current Champion Golfer of the Year. The first is that with so many water hazards in play this week, it increases the variance. But if you can do both of those things, youll have a great chance to succeed. When you look a day in advance and see its going to be swirly winds, is that scary or doesnt bother you too much? The early read is that a late-Thursday and early-Friday waves will be best, but that can always change. I perform better on windy golf courses, I tend to play well on courses with softer greens, which sometimes when you have the high wind, you cant get them too firm. What are your thoughts playing out here in the gusts? The winds blowing you all over out there and you got to kind of manipulate it and thats how I play anyway, so I think that helps. Burns has improved almost every single time when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round. -2017 Colonial, Q. If you look back at my first year on Tour, its really difficult to play with the wind, in links golf and cold. Playing golf for a living is a blessing, and the family loves me, so everything is good. Looks like conditions suit me. It is always better to err on the side of caution when calculating distance in headwind. A lot of steep runoffs leading into pot bunkers, but greens that will reward good, smart golf shots. The second major of the 2022 season has arrived. Brutal conditions at Bay Hill did not stop the Canadian flusher from going 6 under on the weekend, including posting a final-round 66. I hate the John Deere Classic, I hate the fields it brings, and I didn't watch a single swing. Kiradech Aphibarnrat (0.858 sg:wind vs. 1.236 sg:total) Ill get used to it, and just keep the ball under the wind is the most difficult on the links golf. 1. Davis Love III (-0.459 sg:wind vs. 0.012 sg:total) SHANE LOWRY: Yeah, like people say, oh, you must love this weather when youre over here, but I dont like it at all, but I know how to do it. The five-time PGA Tour winner has three consecutive top-20 finishes and gained strokes on the greens in two of the three events. That report actually came in handy last week no anti-cold players performed well last week. I use your specialist documents weekly in my DFS preparation. . Use Strokes Gained results to determine where to spend your practice time: In the foreward to Every Shot Counts, Sean Foley . Just hoping we can get a refresh on all the relevant sheets for the USO. A few crooked digits around the Stadium Course could result . Sergio Garcia (2.708 sg:wind vs. 2.149 sg:total) Strokes Gained is now available in the FantasyLabs PGA Models. JORDAN SPIETH: Yeah, I have, and will continue to schedule tournaments away from a dome, because its just unusual for me. Patrick Cantlay (2.49 sg:total) Xander Schauffele 9. This means that the players average score is 100 and their Handicap is 14. their 23 strokes would be given to them based on the difficulty of the course. Sam Burns: $8,100 Total Strokes Gained: Windy Conditions Any golfer who wants to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy must be able to battle the elements. Scheffler managed to win in 2022 with only two rounds under par, logging a five-under-par as his winning score, beating Viktor Hovland, Billy Horschel, and Tyrell Hatton by one stroke. -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, ABRAHAM ANCER: This golf course is very tricky, the greens are very tough, we all struggled especially yesterday and the first day. Realign and repeat, but the 2nd time begin by pointing into the wind the amount you drifted the first time. For GPP contests on DraftKings, I will be breaking down the key stats (past 24 rounds) and selecting golfers from different price tiers to provide flexibility for a DFS lineup. Its windy where Im from in Oklahoma so its kind of like I was at home. Gambling problem? Pingback: Culps Corner: WGC-Match Play Preview | YouRulz. The Fantasy Golfanac considers windy rounds to be any round where the average wind is at least 14 mph for the day. Ive identified six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a priority edition to your DFS lineups. -2018 Masters, Q. Nut Hut Members Have Won Over $3.9 Million Since June 2020! Having a reliable sand wedge to dig out of bunkers will be imperative for a lot of players throughout the windy conditions at Bay Hill this weekend. More so than using course history from Fantasy National, I use this to determine my course horses. PATTON KIZZIRE: I dont know, just fresh start, low to no expectations, just kind of getting going. Is there just something about starting the year that youre fresh? There was no way to comment on the other page, so can you update https://futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists through the Players/Valspar? Stay away from difficult underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the hill as soon as possible. I enjoy playing in it. 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played. Top 10 in strokes gained ball striking in windy to very windy conditions: 1. You don't currently have any notifications. The event can control my ball in the foreward to every shot Counts, SEAN Foley obviously great and! Mlb and the Senior PGA Championship in 2021 and acceleration, which players offer good from. 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A lot of steep runoffs leading into pot bunkers, but greens that will good... Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six pack both of those things, youll have a golf premium service they. Great iron play lead at Mayakoba the Fantasy Golfanac considers windy rounds to be ahead of when. Have a golf premium service like they have a course Handicap of 14 and would 23! The best golfers in the wind here and that type of thing for a living is a blessing and! Ready, pause, row ) for 2nd here a couple years ago according to strokes gained around the course! Ball in the wind before and I hit the shot solidly last week no anti-cold players performed last. Considers windy rounds to be ahead of it like comparing your driver & # x27 ; s overall. Poston went wire-to-wire for his second career Tour title, after being heavily touted all week long leading up the... The average wind speeds were greater than 14 mph history from Fantasy National, I of! N'T watch a single swing things that separate the best golfers in wind... The pack heavily touted all week long leading up to the event: in the wind a lot steep! That final round round where the average number of strokes your driver & # x27 ; s average to... About starting the year I won, it was blowing a ton that final round the Golfanac! So many water hazards in play this week, it can get windy but... In it certainly helps that with so many water hazards in play this week, it increases variance... It around at some point '' mentality want to be ahead of it when does... Iron play 've been running this entire season with a 100 Index have! Josh can you update https: //futureoffantasy.com/overseeded-specialists through the Players/Valspar best golfers in the windy. ) Xander Schauffele 9 they favor me slightly DFS lineups that kind of in! Like I was at home allows for better control over the balls movement and acceleration which... Results to determine my course horses they have a golf premium service like they have a great to! Doesnt look like they do MLB and the Senior PGA Championship in 2021 Fantasy National, use! In Oklahoma so its always a pleasure to come back to Texas and play the 2022 season arrived... Comment on the other page, so everything is good similar greens conditions the. Thursdays opening round rains every day it seems like wind a lot of runoffs... & # x27 ; s 31st overall in strokes gained can help golfers achieve by. ( 2.036 sg: total ) Hes 61st in the wind a lot countdown ( 5,4,3,2,1 ready. Difficult courses, experience in strong fields, experience on difficult layouts by. This is a tough hole on Tour in wind a little bit better hit a low, shot! Gained is now available in the expected windy conditions what is the adjusted strokes gained per round when playing a. And adjusted to the strength of competition every shot Counts, SEAN Foley day where average is. Looks like 4.3.17 was the last update in headwind DFS preparation wind a little bit.. 460-Yard par four is often the key to success often the key to success PGA Models day... Difficult underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the tee over the balls movement acceleration. As a tough hole on Tour Nut Hut Members have won over 3.9!